Development of Climate and Earth System Models in China: Past Achievements and New CMIP6 Results

作者：Tianjun ZHOU,Ziming CHEN,Liwei ZOU,Xiaolong CHEN,Yongqiang YU,Bin WANG,Qing BAO,Ying BAO,Jian CAO,Bian HE,Shuai HU,Lijuan LI,Jian LI,Yanluan LIN,Libin MA,Fangli QIAO,Xinyao RONG,Zhenya SONG,Yanli TANG,Bo WU,Tongwen WU,Xiaoge XIN,He ZHANG,Minghua ZHANG

摘要：The Earth–Climate System Model(ECSM)is an important platform for multi-disciplinary and multi-sphere integration research,and its development is at the frontier of international geosciences,especially in the field of global change.The research and development(R&D)of ECSM in China began in the 1980 s and have achieved great progress.In China,ECSMs are now mainly developed at the Chinese Academy of Sciences,ministries,and universities.Following a brief review of the development history of Chinese ECSMs,this paper summarized the technical characteristics of nine Chinese ECSMs participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 and preliminarily assessed the basic performances of four Chinese models in simulating the global climate and the climate in East Asia.The projected changes of global precipitation and surface air temperature and the associated relationship with the equilibrium climate sensitivity under four shared socioeconomic path scenarios were also discussed.Finally,combined with the international situation,from the perspective of further improvement,eight directions were proposed for the future development of Chinese ECSMs.

發文機構：State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics（LASG） College of Earth and Planetary Sciences First Institute of Oceanography School of Atmospheric Science Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences Tsinghua University National Climate Center International Center for Climate and Environment Sciences

關鍵詞：Earth–ClimateSystemModel(ECSM)ChinesemodelsCoupledMODELIntercomparisonProjectPhase6(CMIP6)MODELperformanceCLIMATEpredictionandPROJECTIONOUTLOOK

分類號： P456.7[天文地球—大氣科學及氣象學]