VERIFICATION OF EXTREME RAINFALL IN TYPHOON SOUDELOR(1513) WITH THE MODEL EVALUATION TOOLS(MET)

作者：Sangil Pak,Hakil Ri

摘要：The extreme rainfall forecast performances of both of ECMWF-IFS and ECMWF-EPS with MET version 5.1 were examined in landing Typhoon Soudelor(1513) with 60 h lead times. In this study the programs for converting ECMWF’s forecast data(both of ECMWF-IFS and ECMWF-EPS) format into that needed by MET were developed. Also, during landfall, the observed maximum 6-hour accumulated rainfall was investigated, and then the verification of extreme rainfall in Soudelor was carried out. Results showed that while traditional verification gives relatively low scores, by the method for object-based diagnostic evaluation(MODE) the significant rainy areas were well predicted in this case study.

發文機構：Central Meteorological Forecasting Institute

關鍵詞：EXTREMERAINFALLModelEvaluationTOOLSextreme rainfallModel Evaluation Tools

分類號： P457.6[天文地球—大氣科學及氣象學]